Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 48%, McCain 44%
Democratic Party presidential nominee Barack Obama moved outside the margin of error in his race against Republican John McCain, leading now by 6.2 percentage points in the latest edition of the Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking poll.
Data from this poll is available here
In this latest report, Obama gained 1.1 percentage points, while McCain lost 0.8 percentage points in the latest rolling average. Obama's 6.2 point advantage is the largest lead so far in the tracking poll. McCain has come within 1.9 points of Obama early on in the tracking process last week.
The rolling telephone tracking poll included a sample of 1,208 likely voters collected over the previous three 24-hour periods spanning four calendar days - approximately 400 per 24-hour period from Oct. 10-13, 2008. The poll was conducted by live telephone operators in Zogby's in-house call center in Upstate New York and carries a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.
Obama's overall edge is linked to his strong performance among independent voters, where he retains a substantial 17-point lead. Both Obama and McCain continue to do well in winning support from voters in their own respective parties - Obama wins 86% support from Democrats and McCain wins 87% support from Republicans.
Obama leads McCain by a statistically insignificant one point among men, and also leads among women by 11 points.
Liberal voters support Obama over McCain by an 85% to 10% margin, while McCain leads among conservatives by a 72% to 19% edge - but it is notable that Obama is winning 19% of the conservative support. Among moderates, 61% support Obama, while 32% support McCain.
Among those voters who said they have registered to vote in the last six months, Obama leads McCain by a 53% to 37% margin. Among those who have already voted - about seven percent of the sample - Obama leads by a 52% to 42% edge over McCain.
Daily Tracking Continues
This daily tracking telephone poll will continue each day until the Nov. 4 election, keeping in touch with the daily twists and turns in the race for the White House. With each new day of polling that is folded into the poll, the oldest third of the survey is replaced with the fresh data, so the poll "tracks" changes in voter attitudes following events and developments in the campaigns. Keep up-to-date every day by visiting www.zogby.com.