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Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 50.2 percent, McCain 43.3 percent

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Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 50.2 percent, McCain 43.3 percent
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UTICA, New York - Democrat Barack Obama has inched forward again, once again expanding his lead above 50% and moving outside the margin of error as rival John McCain slipped more than a full point, the latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone poll shows.

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With just five days to go before Election Day, Obama gained 1.1 points, as Republican McCain dropped an identical amount. The race now stands with Obama at 50.2%, compared to 43.3% for McCain. Another 6.5% said they are either undecided or favor another candidate. This poll came out of the field BEFORE the airing of Obama's 30-minute commercial last night.

Pollster John Zogby: With less than a week to go, today's numbers are not a good development for McCain. There is no momentum for him, and the clock is starting to run short. Worse news for McCain today is that Obama hit 50% in the single day of polling, while he dropped back to the low 40s. Obama increased his lead among independents compared to yesterday, has moved into a lead among men, and still holds about one in five conservatives. But six days, including Election Day, is an eternity and McCain cannot be counted out yet, though he may need a wing and a prayer.

Obama increased his lead among independent voters to 19 points, up from 16 points yesterday. McCain's support among his base of Republican voters waned just slightly, dropping two points to 85% in this latest report, while Obama's support among Democratic Party voters remained steady at 84%.

Obama leads by 5 points among men, 49% to 44% for McCain. Among women, he leads by a 10-point margin, 52% to 42%.

Among liberals, Obama wins 86% support, while McCain wins 75% of conservatives, which is the same as yesterday. Among moderates, Obama wins 65% support, compared to 26% for McCain.

The three-day rolling tracking poll included 1,202 likely voters - about 400 interviews per 24-hour polling period (each polling period begins and ends at 5 p.m. daily) - and was conducted Oct. 27-29, 2008. It carries a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Interviews were conducted using live telephone interviewers in Zogby's in-house call center in Upstate New York.

Daily Tracking Continues

This daily tracking telephone poll will continue each day until the Nov. 4 election. With each new day of responses of likely voters that are folded into the poll, the oldest third of the survey sample is removed, so the poll "tracks" changes in voter attitudes following events and developments in the race. Keep up-to-date every day by visiting www.zogby.com.

For a complete methodological statement on this survey, please visit:

http://www.zogby.com/methodology/readmeth.dbm?ID=1368

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