Zogby Interactive: GOP losing lead in Congressional vote preference -- now just 42%-41%
UTICA, New York - Republicans lead Democrats, 42%-41%, among likely voters on the question of which party's candidates for Congress they intend to support. This is a tightening of the GOP margin from July 29, when Republicans led, 46%-38%.
President Barack Obama's approval rating remains as it was at the end of July at 43%.
These results are from an August 9-11, 2010 interactive survey of 2,067 likely voters.
Compared to our July 29 interactive poll, Democratic candidates gained four percentage points among Democratic voters and two percentage points from independents. Support for GOP candidates among Republican voters slips three percentage points.
Women now favor Democratic candidates, 44%-37%, which is a reversal from a small lead Republicans held on July 29.
Using a four-point approval scale of President Obama's job performance, a total of 43% either strongly approve (19%or somewhat approve (23%); and a total of 56% either strongly disapprove (45%) or somewhat disapprove (10%.)
Other Poll Results
* On the question of whether the nation is headed in the right or wrong track, 58% say wrong track, 34% say right direction and 8% are not sure.
* Congressional job approval is 22%, with 77% disapproving. The approval for Democrats in Congress is 10 percentage points higher than that of Republicans. For Democrats in Congress, 35% of all likely voters approve, and for Republicans in Congress, 25% approve. Approval of Republicans is down five percentage points from July 29.
Pollster John Zogby: "While the Republicans' lead for Congress has narrowed from the end of July, they still lead and have done so since May. Voters' desire for change appears as strong as it was in 2008. Change now means voting out Democrats. But just as they did two years, voters view Republicans in Congress even less favorably than they do Democrats. The cards are on the table for both parties. Let's see who plays them the best."
The poll was made up of 2,067 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.2%. A sampling of Zogby International's online panel, which is representative of the adult population of the U.S., was invited to participate. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender, and education to more accurately reflect the population.