Weather Forecast


Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 49.1%, McCain 44.4%

UTICA, New York - The race for President of the United States remained essentially frozen in time yesterday, with very little movement just a week to go before Election Day, the latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone poll shows.

Data from this poll is available here

Democrat Barack Obama gained 0.1 points, while Republican John McCain dropped 0.2 points in the latest three-day rolling average tracking poll. The undecided voters increased to 6.5%, up 0.2 points from yesterday.

McCain wins 87% of the Republican support, and Obama 84% of the Democratic support, and each candidate wins 11% of the opposing party's support, the survey shows. Obama continues to lead among independent voters - his advantage now stands at 16 points, 51% to 35%.

The three-day rolling tracking poll included 1,203 likely voters - about 400 interviews per 24-hour polling period (each polling period begins and ends at 5 p.m. daily) - and was conducted Oct. 26-28, 2008. It carries a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Interviews were conducted using live telephone interviewers in Zogby's in-house call center in Upstate New York.

McCain wins 87% support from Republicans, while Obama wins 85% support from Democrats. Among independent voters, Obama leads by 15 points - winning 50% support, compared to 35% support for McCain.

Geographically, Obama enjoys a big lead in the Eastern U.S., while McCain has a solid lead in the South. In the Midwestern and Great Lakes states, McCain enjoys a narrow 3-point edge, while Obama leads by a similarly small 4-point lead in the West.

Among men, the race is essentially tied - McCain wins 47% support, Obama wins 46% backing. Obama continues to enjoy an advantage of 10 points among women.

Among liberals, Obama wins 86% support, while McCain wins 75% of conservatives. Obama wins 20% of the conservative vote, but it is important to note that 18% of conservatives said they also consider themselves Democrats. Among moderates, Obama has a two-to-one advantage over McCain, but again, there are significantly more Democrats than Republicans who consider themselves moderates.